Tonight's game matches up two pretty good teams, the NY Giants from the Dallas Cowboys. Both teams are 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS this year. Both teams are solid playoff contenders. The biggest advantage the Cowboys have tonight is that they're playing both at home and on national television. You can't ever discount the psychological element of a sporting event, and with both teams evenly matched, the extra adrenalin of playing at home might be enough to give the Cowboys the advantage. At least that is what the oddsmakers think. That's the only reason the Cowboys are 3-point favorites in your own home.
Exactly what do the stats say?
The very first stat that stands out would be that the Giants are 8-4 SU within their last twelve games against Dallas. This has a lot to do with how the Giants match-up, and also since the Giants have experienced better teams previously. On the other hand, the Cowboys are 11-4 SU in their last 11 HOME games against the Giants. This tells me the Giants don't travel well to Texas.
However the entire key to farmville isn't past record -after all the players don't provide a #$$@! about what happened Many years ago, do they? The answer to farmville is whether or not the Dallas defense can stop Tiki Barber. I say they can. The Dallas defense has only given up 67 yards per game rushing this season. And it's not like they've sacrificed their pass defense to help keep the running game in check. The Cowboys have also only quit 212 yards per game passing.
What else perform the stats tell me? How relating to this. The Giants are only 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games took part in Dallas. That shows that the general public might have a propensity to underestimate the house field advantage that Dallas carries into tonight's game. Going back a full ten-years, the Giants only covered in Dallas 6 times in 20 games.
So what's the final call tonight? My gut feeling would be to simply lay off this game. If you must play farmville, play it for less than you nornally would. I can't honestly let you know there is a big edge within this game on either side. If the Giants can run the ball, they'll probably win outright. If the Cowboys stop Barber, they'll probably win outright. Sometimes the main difference between coming out ahead in the long run is knowing when to simply lay low and wait for more high number game.
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